Health in 2040 results updated for new population projections

This implies a shift in the implies a shift in the share of the adult share of the adult population living with major population living with major illness, from illness, from almost 1 in 6 in 2019 (6.6 million) almost 1 in 6 in 2019 (6.7 million) to to almost 1 in 5 in 2040 (9.3 million). [...] The number of people living with major The number of people living with major illness illness is projected to increase by 37% – is projected to increase by 39% – over a third over a third – by 2040, nine times the – by 2040, 3.5 times the rate at which the rate at which the working age population working age population (20–69-year-olds) is (20–69-year-olds) is expected to grow expected to grow (11. [...] However, the increase in the size of the population aged 70 years and older, combined with the trend in the years spent with major illness, means that the number of people living with major illness is projected to increase from 15% of the population aged 20 years and older in 2019 to 18% in 2040. [...] The combined impact of these trends is projected to reduce the ratio of the working- age population to the older population with major illness between 2019 and 2040 from 10:1 to 7:1 (almost a third) 2 Projected changes to the number of people with specific conditions The population is projected to grow, as well as change in age structure. [...] COPD is chronic obstructive pulmonary disease Source: Analysis of linked health care records and mortality data conducted by the REAL Centre and University of Liverpool Key messages from Health in 2040 Projected changes to the overall population of England Projected changes to the population with major illness Projected changes to the number of people with specific conditions.